The world's largest ultra marathon.
Comrades Marathon 2026 features an elite field rated 92/100, with Katie Schide 🇺🇸 emerging as the clear frontrunner at 33.8% win probability. Courtney Dauwalter trails at 19.4% and will need a tactical masterclass to contend.
The primary battle is between Katie Schide and Courtney Dauwalter, separated by just 14.4 percentage points. The USA 🇺🇸 has 2 athletes in the top 3, adding tactical depth to their campaign. Kilian Jornet 🇪🇸 at 13.3% is the dark horse — capable of disrupting if the leaders neutralize each other.
Conditions of Cool morning at 8-22C are near-ideal for endurance performance. Variable may factor into pacing strategy, particularly in the second half. No major weather-related disruptions expected.
Katie Schide to win. Early projection — form and fitness closer to race day will refine this call.
Course record: 5:18:19. Durban to Pietermaritzburg hosts this 87 km (Up run) event.