One of the six World Marathon Majors attracting the deepest elite field in the sport. The London course runs past iconic landmarks from Greenwich Park to Buckingham Palace.
London Marathon 2026 features an elite field rated 97/100, with Sabastian Sawe 🇰🇪 emerging as the clear frontrunner at 23.9% win probability. Abdi Nageeye trails at 14.2% and will need a tactical masterclass to contend.
The primary battle is between Sabastian Sawe and Abdi Nageeye, separated by just 9.8 percentage points. Kenya 🇰🇪 has 2 athletes in the top 3, adding tactical depth to their campaign. Alexander Munyao 🇰🇪 at 11.2% is the dark horse — capable of disrupting if the leaders neutralize each other.
Conditions of Overcast at 14C are near-ideal for endurance performance. Light 8 km/h may factor into pacing strategy, particularly in the second half. No major weather-related disruptions expected.
Sabastian Sawe to win. With 20 days to go, barring injury, this looks like a strong favorite performance.
Course record: 2:01:25 / 2:16:16. Greenwich to The Mall, London, UK hosts this 42.195 km event.