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World Athletics Championships Tokyo 2025 on September 13, 2025 brings a strong field rated 100/100. Mondo Duplantis 🇸🇪 leads our projections at 13.5%, with Keely Hodgkinson 🇬🇧 in close pursuit at 9.8%.
Watch for the head-to-head between Mondo Duplantis and Keely Hodgkinson — our model has them separated by only 3.7 points. Noah Lyles 🇺🇸 (8.7%) adds a wildcard element. Course knowledge and pacing strategy will be decisive in the closing stages.
Race day conditions — Warm and humid, 28°C / 82°F — will test athletes' heat management. Expect conservative early pacing with potential for dramatic surges from athletes who handle the heat best. Variable adds another variable to the closing kilometers.
Mondo Duplantis is our pick at 13.5%. Course record pace (Various) is within reach if conditions cooperate.
Course record: Various. Tokyo hosts this Multiple events event.